Moralo vs As Pontes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
RCF
3 - 2
MOR
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
MOR
1 - 4
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
4 - 1
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
MOR
1 - 1
FUE
29%
28%
43%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
PLA
1 - 0
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
ASP
1 - 1
AVI
53%
25%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ROB
1 - 0
ASP
54%
25%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
ASP
3 - 0
CAU
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
PON
1 - 0
ASP
63%
23%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
ASP
3 - 2
MAJ
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |