Moralo vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
COR
0 - 0
MOR
25%
24%
50%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 2
OLI
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
VIL
14%
24%
62%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +6 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MIA
0 - 3
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
0 - 0
SNV
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
DPC
0 - 1
ARR
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
3 - 0
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CPL
0 - 1
ARR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
UDS
76%
14%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |