Moralo vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
MOR
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
5 - 1
EMD
82%
13%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 1
MOR
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
CDD
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAM
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 2
CAS
66%
20%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
AMA
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 0
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EXT
3 - 1
AMA
57%
21%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CPC
2 - 0
AMA
80%
15%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |