Moralo vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
BET
2 - 0
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 2
XER
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
AGD
1 - 1
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 0
MOT
50%
25%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
ECI
0 - 1
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
ALM
5 - 1
ICR
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
POL
1 - 0
ALM
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
ALM
0 - 3
SEV
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
0 - 0
ALM
44%
29%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
ALM
0 - 1
CAD
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |