Morales Vino vs Sporting Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+517%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morales Vino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
ATL
7 - 2
MOR
52%
20%
28%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
MOR
79%
12%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 2
IVL
46%
20%
34%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 3
FRE
25%
20%
55%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BVD
3 - 1
MOR
40%
21%
39%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 5
FRE
18%
19%
63%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BVD
3 - 1
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 5
COR
5%
11%
84%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 0
SPO
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
6 - 3
SPO
85%
9%
6%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |