Morales Vino vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
11.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morales Vino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RCB
9 - 0
MOR
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
6 - 0
SAC
63%
18%
20%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GCE
7 - 1
MOR
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 1
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 3
VIL
42%
22%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
FRE
54%
19%
28%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BVD
2 - 0
SAN
34%
20%
46%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 5
COR
50%
20%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
8 - 0
SAN
68%
16%
15%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAC
41%
20%
39%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +2 |