Moraleja vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 3
MOR
12%
18%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 0
AMA
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
MOR
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 1
ADV
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
MOR
63%
18%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 0
MOR
37%
23%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ADV
2 - 0
PLA
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
PLA
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 2
CIU
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
PLA
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |