Moraleja vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
MOR
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
AMA
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UCL
2 - 1
MOR
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 2
UCL
33%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 1
MOR
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
TAL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
MON
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DBN
9 - 0
MON
82%
13%
6%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
CDD
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |