Moraleja vs Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 2
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 2
TOR
45%
21%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
MOR
64%
20%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
COR
10%
20%
70%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
QUI
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 1
MOR
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADV
1 - 0
MAL
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 0
TOR
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 2
MAL
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 0
TAL
24%
24%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |