Moraleja vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAT
0 - 1
MOR
35%
23%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
5 - 0
LAS
39%
24%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 1
MOR
86%
10%
4%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
MON
11%
19%
70%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 2
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
CDZ
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CDC
2 - 1
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
CDS
23%
26%
52%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CDD
5 - 1
GUA
62%
19%
20%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAL
16%
20%
64%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |