Moor Green vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moor Green
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
VAU
1 - 0
MOO
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
MOO
0 - 1
RFC
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
TOW
1 - 2
MOO
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
MOO
2 - 1
GAI
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MOO
2 - 0
WOR
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
HIN
1 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
HIN
0 - 3
HUC
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SOU
3 - 2
HIN
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 1
HIN
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HIN
0 - 1
TOW
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |