Montserrat vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MSR
2 - 2
CUW
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CUW
2 - 1
MSR
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
MSR
0 - 0
5%
14%
82%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | +3 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MSR
1 - 0
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
VGB
0 - 7
MSR
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
HND
0 - 1
SLV
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
SLV
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
USA
2 - 0
SLV
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
JAM
1 - 1
SLV
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SLV
2 - 0
CUW
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |