Montserrat vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.4%
Win probability
0.17
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1%
2-1
0.2%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
9.1%
89.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
21%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.3%
0-3
18.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
20.6%
0-4
12.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
6.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.2%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
BLZ
3 - 1
MSR
77%
15%
9%
|
5 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
MSR
2 - 5
BLZ
15%
20%
65%
|
5 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
KNA
4 - 0
MSR
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 49 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MSR
0 - 5
BRB
2%
11%
87%
|
5 | 55 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
VCT
7 - 0
MSR
94%
6%
1%
|
5 | 49 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GUF
2 - 1
SUR
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
SUR
0 - 0
ABW
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SLV
4 - 0
SUR
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUR
1 - 3
SLV
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SUR
1 - 3
DOM
44%
24%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |