WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Montserrat vs Curaçao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CUW
2 - 1
MSR
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
MSR
0 - 0
5%
14%
82%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | +3 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MSR
1 - 0
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
VGB
0 - 7
MSR
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | +4 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MTQ
5 - 0
MSR
93%
7%
1%
|
5 | 57 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CUW
2 - 1
MSR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
ABW
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GUF
4 - 1
CUW
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CUW
2 - 3
CUB
9%
19%
72%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
CUW
2 - 3
TTO
7%
16%
78%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |