Montserrat vs Barbados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MSR
2 - 1
DOM
12%
16%
72%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NIC
3 - 0
MSR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MSR
0 - 3
NIC
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
3 - 0
MSR
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRB
2 - 3
MSR
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 4
NIC
9%
17%
74%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
5 - 2
BRB
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 5
DOM
12%
19%
70%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
NIC
5 - 1
BRB
73%
18%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRB
2 - 3
MSR
43%
22%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |