GOAL FC vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
JUR
4 - 3
MOA
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MOA
0 - 1
VIL
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MOA
1 - 1
AND
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPI
3 - 0
MOA
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MOA
0 - 0
SAI
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 3
SPO
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
HYE
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
SPO
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 1
PAU
75%
16%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BER
0 - 2
SPO
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |