GOAL FC vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
3º
1º
41
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
78% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 0
MOA
23%
28%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MOA
3 - 0
ROM
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MOA
1 - 1
AND
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
MOA
39%
30%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MOA
3 - 0
NAN
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAU
3 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
SAU
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAU
2 - 2
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
SAU
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAU
2 - 0
AND
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |