GOAL FC vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MOA
0 - 0
BOU
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CSL
0 - 3
MOA
35%
25%
41%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOA
0 - 0
JUR
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RAO
1 - 1
MOA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOA
2 - 1
NAN
18%
24%
58%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +5 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SPI
0 - 0
IVR
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 1
SPI
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 0
PSG
54%
26%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CSL
2 - 1
SPI
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 0
BEL
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |