GOAL FC vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AMN
0 - 1
MOA
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MOA
0 - 3
FCM
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -3 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 0
MOA
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MOA
0 - 1
VAL
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
OLY
4 - 0
MOA
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 2
BOU
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 0
SAR
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 4
MET
31%
27%
43%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SOC
2 - 2
SAR
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |