GOAL FC vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 3
MOA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MOA
0 - 2
JUR
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MOA
3 - 0
PSG
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 0
MOA
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MOA
2 - 3
BEL
50%
24%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 4
RAO
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 4
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 2
JUR
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 3
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |