GOAL FC vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 1
MOA
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MOA
0 - 3
MON
10%
19%
71%
|
41 | 82 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
MOA
2 - 1
MOU
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MOA
2 - 0
JUR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MOA
1 - 1
IST
16%
21%
62%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
SPI
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VES
1 - 2
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
FCM
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
RAO
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |