GOAL FC vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
MOA
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
MOA
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MOA
2 - 2
SOC
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 0
MOA
61%
22%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOA
0 - 0
DRA
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
LPV
1 - 1
SOC
50%
27%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MOU
4 - 1
LPV
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LPV
1 - 0
DRA
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 0
LPV
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LPV
0 - 1
AUX
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |