GOAL FC vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 0
MOA
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 1
MOA
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
MOA
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MOA
3 - 0
BEL
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
VES
2 - 3
MOA
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
IST
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
IST
0 - 0
ASN
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
IST
48%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
IST
4 - 2
NÎM
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
4 - 0
IST
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |