GOAL FC vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 0
MOA
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MOA
2 - 4
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PON
0 - 0
MOA
22%
28%
50%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
MOA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MOA
1 - 3
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
CON
5 - 1
MON
75%
15%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
JUR
1 - 1
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
HYE
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ANN
3 - 2
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
NIC
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |