Montrouge vs Vitry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
11º
14º
11º
23
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
MFC
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 5
BRE
33%
23%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAI
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 1
MFC
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
AJA
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VTR
1 - 3
SML
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VTR
2 - 2
IVR
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VTR
1 - 4
BAS
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STG
1 - 0
VTR
67%
20%
14%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
VTR
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |