Montrouge vs Vitry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
11º
14º
11º
23
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
MFC
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 5
BRE
33%
23%
43%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAI
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 1
MFC
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
AJA
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VTR
1 - 3
SML
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VTR
2 - 2
IVR
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VTR
1 - 4
BAS
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STG
1 - 0
VTR
67%
20%
14%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
VTR
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |