Montrouge vs Paris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
13º
10º
29
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
MFC
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
SAN
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 1
MFC
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
BRE
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
LMR
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
PAR
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUL
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 3
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |