Montrouge vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
13º
10º
41
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AUB
4 - 0
MFC
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
PAR
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
MFC
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
SAN
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
3 - 1
BLA
40%
28%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 2
DRA
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ESA
1 - 1
DRA
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 2
VTR
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -3 |