Montrose vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
6º
3º
9
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 62 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 62 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 46 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 41 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42.5% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARB
3 - 0
MON
24%
23%
52%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COV
1 - 0
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
QOS
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 1
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STE
1 - 1
FAL
10%
16%
75%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STE
5 - 1
BLA
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STE
3 - 2
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
STE
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 0
STE
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |