Montrose vs Ross County FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
PET
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
DEV
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
BER
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
STI
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SOR
1 - 1
ROS
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
PAK
1 - 3
ROS
39%
25%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 4
ROS
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ROS
1 - 3
MHE
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 1
ROS
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |