Montrose vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MON
1 - 6
EAS
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
QUE
4 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
THE
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARB
4 - 1
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
STR
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
RAI
2 - 1
CWB
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 1
RAI
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 0
RAI
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RAI
0 - 1
QOS
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 1
RAI
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |