Montrose vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
9º
4º
41
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 2
MON
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
HAM
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 0
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 7
FAL
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 0
COV
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STI
0 - 0
QOS
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 0
EDI
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QOS
1 - 2
KHE
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
QOS
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |