Montrose vs Kilmarnock II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 1
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
KHE
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
CLY
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
5 - 2
THE
12%
15%
74%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
3 - 0
CWB
16%
20%
65%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +4 |