Montrose vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
6º
3º
9
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 65 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 57 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 55 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 49 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 44 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 37 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
43% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CLY
0 - 1
MON
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
EDI
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
MHE
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
STI
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
6 - 0
KHE
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 1
PET
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
1 - 0
HIB
8%
16%
76%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 1
KHE
24%
22%
54%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 5
HOM
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |