Montrose vs Inverurie Loco Works analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
MON
5 - 0
CLY
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ELG
2 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
THE
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
QUE
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PET
2 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
INV
2 - 4
PET
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
INV
3 - 2
CLA
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CLA
1 - 1
INV
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DAL
1 - 6
INV
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
INV
0 - 5
DEV
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |