Montrose vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
9º
4º
74
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 0
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 7
FAL
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
STI
1 - 0
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
FAL
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 3
HAM
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
QOS
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
COV
1 - 3
HAM
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
STI
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |