Montrose vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ELG
1 - 1
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
EDI
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CWB
0 - 2
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
STI
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
STI
0 - 3
FOR
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 3
BER
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ELG
1 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
EDI
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |