Montrose vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
STR
0 - 2
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
ALB
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MON
0 - 4
ELG
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
QUE
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 5
BLA
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
QUE
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
THE
4 - 0
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
BLA
1 - 1
FOR
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
QUE
1 - 3
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |