Montrose vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
STI
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
MON
60%
21%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
CLY
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ELG
4 - 1
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
ELG
2 - 2
FOR
46%
23%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ARB
3 - 2
ELG
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ELG
6 - 0
BER
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ELG
4 - 1
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ELG
8 - 1
HAW
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |