Montrose vs East Fife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
QUE
4 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
THE
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARB
4 - 1
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
STR
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 2
EAS
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 1
ALL
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PET
0 - 2
EAS
33%
25%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 3
EAS
55%
22%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 1
STE
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |