Montrose vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 3
MON
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
AIR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ROS
3 - 1
MON
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
STE
3 - 2
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DUM
4 - 0
EAS
34%
27%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ARB
3 - 1
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
STR
3 - 2
DUM
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DUM
1 - 5
RAI
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AIR
1 - 1
DUM
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |