Montrose vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
STI
1 - 2
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
BER
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
CWB
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 3
ELG
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 1
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CLY
1 - 2
ARB
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 2
BLA
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ARB
4 - 1
BER
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 2
DUN
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |