Montrose vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
7º
7º
58
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
QOS
2 - 3
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
PET
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
FAL
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
3 - 0
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
EDI
1 - 1
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 4
FAL
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 1
ALL
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 2
QOS
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
AIR
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
ALL
9%
18%
72%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |