Canadian Championship Final
Global 2-4
CF Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
DCU
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
RBN
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 3
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
SES
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
KCW
2 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VAN
4 - 0
RSL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 1
SES
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SES
0 - 3
VAN
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
VAN
3 - 1
SJE
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
VAN
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |