CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
CF Montréal vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
OLI
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
JOE
1 - 4
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
VAN
2 - 0
MON
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
VAN
43%
31%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |