CF Montréal vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 0
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 4
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
EDM
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
PRI
1 - 1
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CFS
3 - 2
COC
42%
28%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DCU
1 - 2
CFS
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
CFS
1 - 2
DAL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SES
2 - 0
CFS
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOD
1 - 1
CFS
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |