Montpellier U19 vs Olympique Rovenain Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+924%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
5º
3º
20
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 53 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 49 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 45 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 37 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 36 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 23 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
MON
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
MON
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AUX
3 - 0
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
NIC
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Rovenain Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 2
ABE
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 1
ORO
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |