Montpellier Sub 19 vs Nice Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
31
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
84% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 1
MON
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
CAN
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
TOU
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BEZ
0 - 1
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
ETI
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nice Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
MON
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 0
NIC
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
NIC
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 5
MON
18%
21%
60%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 6
NIC
5%
12%
83%
|
31 | 5 | 26 | 0 |