Montpellier II vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LES
1 - 0
MON
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
AUC
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NIM
0 - 2
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 0
BER
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
NAR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 1
TOU
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
NAR
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LES
1 - 1
NAR
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |