Montpellier II vs Alberes Argelès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
14º
5º
33
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
MON
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
LES
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
LPV
23%
27%
50%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 4
BLA
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
FCA
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
FCA
29%
24%
46%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |