Montpellier vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GUI
3 - 1
MPL
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
MPL
0 - 2
LEN
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MPL
1 - 1
PSG
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
STR
3 - 2
MPL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MPL
1 - 0
LIL
41%
30%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TRO
1 - 2
PSG
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
STR
2 - 1
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
TRO
1 - 1
LYO
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
NIC
1 - 0
TRO
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
TRO
1 - 1
LHA
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |